Greece seeks re-election as coalition talks turn unproductive

The latest coalition talk in Athens ended without success as President Carolos Papoulias failed to persuade front-line political leaders to back technocrat government. The idea of technocrat government was proposed by the President himself after mainstream political parties in Greece failed to come up with a unity government. For Greece, this means it has to brace for repeat general election, which is going to further drain its economy, or face bankruptcy.

The Evangelos Venizelos-led Socialist Pasok party blamed the negative outcome of the meeting on arrogant, petty party politics and opportunism. On the other hand, the leader of the Syriza party, Alexis Tsipras, emboldened by his party’s success in the latest general election, stated on a high note that he resisted any move to support the pro-bailout deal in every possible way he could.

Earlier, eurozone leaders, gathered for financial ministers’ meeting in Brussels, have rubbished Greece’s exit from euro as propaganda. However, they have acknowledged preparing contingency plans. The EU leaders have clearly stressed that unless Athens fully agrees with the bailout reform plan, they are not going to receive International monetary aid.

Greece fiscal crisis deepens amidst growing political chaos

Greece crisis has, perhaps, reached its highest peak as Alexis Tsipras, the newly elected head of the Syriza party (radical left), picked ‘growth’ over ‘austerity’ and ruled out coalition with the two main parties that suffered heavy defeat on Sunday’s election for adopting tight fiscal control. These two are the Socialists party and the conservative New Democracy party. This has prompted EU to mount pressure on Greece – either follow the bail-out terms or face expulsion from the exclusive circle of Eurozone. As the possibility of total economic collapse is intensifying in Greece, there is a growing fear that this would have a snow-balling effect on other debt-hit economies in the Eurozone, further endangering the ‘Euro.'

On Tuesday, the newly elected Syriza party leader, Alexis Tsipras, has asked for temporary stopping on the repayment of Greece debt. He has also expressed his desire to do away with austerity measures that are drawing criticism for the country’s economic collapse.

Germany is the biggest contributor of financial aid to Athens and has ruled out any scope for renegotiation. Germany has stated that for aid to flow, conditions of the bail out have to be met by Athens. As of now, a bill proposing a new spending cut is expected to go before the parliament next month. In exchange, Greece would receive international aid amounting to €11.5 billion in installment; otherwise, it faces default on its staggering €200 billion total debt.

Sensex hammered to 17,196.47 as rupee weakens

Sensex plummeted to a two-week low of 17,196.47 on Thursday’s trading session as Indian currency, Rupee, lost its shine against dollar in response to increase in global oil demand. Currently, the global crude oil price is oscillating between $105 and $110 per barrel. The weak Industrial data from the Eurozone and China has also added to the weakening of rupee from 50.68 to 51.28 on Thursday.

In the domestic front, the partial rollback of railway fares during the latest railway budget has already dampened the market sentiment. In such a scenario, if there is hike in fuel price, following the global cue, it could inflate the prices of goods and services. On the other hand, if the current trend of global oil price rise is not matched with hike in fuel prices in India, there is a fear that the additional subsidy burden could add to the fiscal deficit and hurt Indian economy. All eyes are now on policy review meet next month when RBI is going to take its decision on interest rate cut.

This apart, a recent CAG report (the Comptroller and Auditor General) has revealed that the decision to allot coal blocks without auctioning them during the period 2004-2009 has not gone down well with the Indian economy. It has cost the Indian government a loss of Rs 10.67 lakh crore.

But experts are hopeful that as long as economic growth rate remains positive and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) continue to stay invested in Indian market, it should stay strong.

Is global recession imminent?

In the midst of market uncertainty coupled with sluggish economic growth, few had expected robust beginning to this New Year. But few had actually anticipated or openly admitted that attempts to bring global economy back on track could be numbered. That Eurozone has approached ‘a perilous new phase,’ acknowledged by none other than the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday has certainly given it credibility. But hasn’t the threat of global recession been on the cards for some time now?

The bleak prediction by International Monetary Fund is based on two prevailing situations – high financing cost borne by euro zone nations and European banks facing severe credit crunch. Experts are of the opinion that each of the two conditions could have triggering effect on the other and may lead to further economic contractions.

Factors outside Eurozone could also have a large impact on global economy. Important among them are hike in global oil price due to sanctions on Iran, investor fear in the prevailing market scenario or possibility of spill-over effect of European debt crisis on other big economies like the United States as well as emerging economies like Japan.

On its quarterly updates, IMF has scaled down its previous global growth estimates of the year 2012 from 4 percent to 3.25 percent. In her latest speech, Managing Director of IMF, Christine Lagarde, has called on all the nations of the world to help bolster the bail-out fund and combat the threat of global recession. Currently, the fund is seeking $500 billion in addition to its present reserve.

Germany and Poland bury their past hatchets to save Eurozone

Mission to save Euro and Eurozone from the ongoing financial crisis has brought together a never-before coalition between Germany and Poland – known enemies whose past are fraught with animosity and war. As the leaders of other EU countries are struggling to reach a common consensus to tackle European debt crisis, leaders of the two countries have taken a united stand.

In a rare gesture, the Prime Minister of Poland, Donald Tusk, has given its full backing to German Chancellor Angela Merkel in her attempt to ask for full change in the treaty. Full and fundamental change in the European treaty is necessary to bring in severe budget cuts and centralized monitoring.

As an ally, Poland brings on the table several brownie points for Germany. Poland enjoys close relationships with countries that belonged to former Soviet Union and countries of northern Europe. Poland is also an enthusiastic supporter of unified Europe and hopes to join Euro in the future. Besides, the commanding position that Poland enjoys among nations outside eurozone also goes well with Germany.

The final clincher was the foreign minister of Poland, Radoslaw Sikorski’s recent comment that set the government and foreign policy departments of Berlin abuzz. “I fear German power less than I am beginning to fear German inactivity.” Radoslaw Sikorski also did not forget to hail Germany as indispensable to Europe.